Home Prices Outpace Pay Increases

Home Prices Outpace Pay Increases
Affordable housing is increasingly hard to find in today’s market. According to data from Trulia, America’s inventory of starter homes has decreased by almost half compared to six years ago while prices rose by almost 58 percent.

As consumers recovered from the housing crisis recession, more people became financially able to own a home. The existing supply was quickly consumed, leading to the current imbalance.

Affordable housing woes may continue indefinitely: According to a Reuters poll of property market analysts, home prices are expected to increase at almost double the rate of wages through 2018.

Home prices are predicted to gain 5.7 percent more over the course of the year, while average annual earnings growth is predicted to be 2.8 percent – slightly above the predicted inflation rate of 2.5 percent.

At least inflation is expected to stay more in line with wages, helping prospective homebuyers who are trying to save up for down payments – but little relief is in sight for home prices.

Wages Aren’t Keeping Up

Wages are finally beginning to rise as unemployment levels reach new lows. May’s 3.8 percent unemployment level is the lowest since 2000.

However, the pressure on employers to find workers hasn’t produced proportionally higher wages. Annual wage increases are still stuck below 3 percent.

Wage growth may hit the 4 percent range by 2019 – but the Reuters poll predicts that home prices are still likely to beat out wages with a 4.3 percent growth rate in 2019. The supply issue may ease in 2020 as home prices are expected to rise by only 3.6 percent.

Demand Outpaces Supply

Unfortunately, home prices might keep going up: While housing starts continue to trend upward, not enough of them are in the affordable range.

Even though demand is high, rising land and labor costs make it difficult for developers to make money catering to the lower-end market.

Meanwhile, rising prices may force marginally qualified homebuyers out of the home-buying market entirely, easing demand and eventually slowing price growth – but how many homes will be truly affordable by then?

Don’t Forget About Interest Rates

There’s one more obstacle for potential homebuyers to consider. Mortgage interest rates are rising, too – although, in historical terms, today’s 4.7 percent rate is still a decent deal. From 1972 to 2008, mortgage interest rates were never below 5 percent.

The Federal Reserve is expected to continue to raise interest rates throughout 2018 and 2019 to bring them back toward historical norms. Expect mortgage interest rates to follow.

The Reuters poll predicts the average interest rate on a thirty-year mortgage to reach 5 percent by the end of 2019, but we are on pace to reach 5 percent well before then.

People Buy Anyway

With all of these hindrances, you might think first-time homebuyers would be dropping out of the market or preparing to save up for a future purchase.

Evidence from Freddie Mac suggests the opposite is true – homebuyers may be stretching their budgets to buy now before they are priced out entirely.

First-time homebuyers made up 46 percent of new mortgages in the first quarter of 2018 – the largest number since Freddie Mac started collecting share data in 2012.

You may be trying to make that same decision – can I afford to buy a house now, or can I afford not to buy a house now?

Only you can answer that question, but make sure your decision is based on a realistic assessment of your finances and housing needs. Don’t think you have to buy a home now because “everyone else” is buying one.

Home Prices Outpace Pay Increases

When you want to buy a home, but home prices are rising faster than your paycheck, it’s more important than ever to make the most out of your take-home pay.

Keep your budget on track and your credit score high so you can act when you find that rare good housing deal.

Lay out your budget over time, including major expenses such as future college costs and retirement savings contributions.

Next, use online mortgage calculators and budgeting guides to help you determine how much house you really can afford to buy.

A realistic assessment is necessary to help you from overextending yourself and creating long-term financial difficulties. Seek the help of a financial professional if necessary.

Get Prequalified

Once you know you’re ready to enter the market, consider getting prequalified for a loan to verify that you really can afford your preferred home.

You may also want to review your housing goals. What’s your definition of affordable? Outline your needs vs. wants in a home. You may find a reasonably priced home that saves you from other financial stresses. If you are fairly handy, consider a fixer-upper where you can increase your wealth through sweat equity.

If all else fails and your income still doesn’t support a home purchase, maybe it’s time to ask for a raise – or find a better paying job while unemployment is still low.Visit Site

This article was provided by our content partners at MoneyTips.com. Photo ©iStockphoto.com/CHRISsadowski

If you enjoy reading our blog posts and would like to try your hand at blogging, click here to get started.

Read More

Join our newsletter

If you like Critical Financial, subscribe and get our latest content via email.

Powered by ConvertKit

Share this post:

Recent Posts

Leave a Comment


May the 4th Be with You: Star Wars Swag on Amazon

May the 4th Be With You: Star Wars Day Swag

It began as the punniest holiday ever but quickly grew into an earnest (if somewhat random) celebration of the long-running (and still... more →
People count the money to buy a house in future success.

Avoiding Mortgage Scams: Don’t Fall for Unreasonable Promises

If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. That’s sound advice for almost all aspects of life, including the search for... more →
Eat for free for a whole month via the meal kit companies discounts for new customers.

How To Get a Month of Free Food: 9 Meal Kit Companies Offering Discounts to New Customers

Play your cards right and you might be able to line up a month’s worth of free meals if you were to try out all nine of the meal... more →
Generate extra cashflow -- here are 97 ways.

96 Awesome Ways to Generate Extra Cashflow

Who doesn’t want more money nowadays? We’ve got you covered on that front. Here comes a long list of different ideas on... more →
Valentine's Day gifts that won't destroy your budget

Valentine’s Day Crafts Are Romantic Rescue from Crazy Inflation

Fall for the hype this week and you’re out an average of $143.56 for Valentine’s Day. Crafts and other do-it-yourself tactics... more →

Ultimate Guide to Bitcoin — FREE Ebook!

Have we got something for you: a free ebook about bitcoin! more →
Get a flu vaccine.

Why You Need To Get a Flu Vaccine Right Now

Flu vaccines aren’t just for the elderly  anymore. Here are 25 reasons you should go get vaccinated. more →
Financially successful

Acquire the Trait All Financially Successful People Have

Financially successful people tend to all have a lot of self-discipline. Improving your discipline in one area of your life often spills... more →

What’s the Best Free Recipe App?

The Apple Store and Google Play together offer more digital cookbooks than you probably have room for on your mobile device. So which... more →
New tax law might slow down housing market.

What Will the New Tax Law Do to the Housing Market?

The new tax law will have a profound impact on the housing market, although in ways that go beyond the deductibility of mortgage interest... more →

4 in 5 Households Will Get a Tax Cut in 2018

Four out of five U.S. households will get a tax cut as a result of the legislation that President Donald Trump signed into law today. more →
Will bitcoin reach $100,000?

When Will Bitcoin Reach $100,000?

Bitcoin has accelerated its pace of appreciation in recent months, and if the current levels between $15,000 and $19,000 make you itch... more →
The Dow Jones topped 24,000 -- now what?

The Dow Jones Crossed the 24,000 Threshold. Now What?

Stocks appear to be increasing in volatility, yet the markets closed on Monday, December 4 with the Dow Jones Industrial Average is... more →
Peer mortgage

Should You Get a Peer-to-Peer Mortgage?

If you can’t get approved for a home loan from a bank, you might want to look into applying for a peer-to-peer mortgage. more →
Investment gifting is awesome.

4 Things To Know Before You Donate an Investment

While donations of any kind are appreciated, gifting investments benefits both the giver and the receiver. Here are four key things... more →
Are you wondering: What's the Relationship Between the Stock Market and Federal Debt?

What’s the Relationship Between the Stock Market and Federal Debt?

Wouldn’t it be wonderful if gains in the stock market could actually reduce U.S. government indebtedness? If that were true,... more →
western union scams

How to Get Money Back from Western Union Scams

Act Before May 31 to Get Your Money Back Although Western Union has served as a reliable method for rapidly sending money over long... more →